In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Thats a pretty good trip. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Which one's bigger? First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? Dr. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. Now things start getting interesting. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Why? Your email address will not be published. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. You can start the series by clicking HERE. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. 7 distinct works Similar authors. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Part of HuffPost Wellness. dr ali binazir odds of being born. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. You have lived your life. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. Step 3. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. You may think You say that to everyone!. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Based on the data from the CDC . Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Are they gross exaggerations? Well surely reply you within 48 hours. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. Step 4. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. So what's the probability of your being born? Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. One in 2,000. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Are they gross exaggerations? In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. June 24, 2022 . One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? But lets make it longer. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. A lovely day to you. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Step 3. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. Step 1. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Hello there! Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Want to Read. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). But let's think about this some more. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article).